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A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets : Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading, Spreads, and Options |
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| Publisher |
| Wiley |
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| Published |
| June 1984 |
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| ISBN |
| 0471893765 |
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| $115.00 |
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List Price |
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| $72.45 |
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OUR PRICE |
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| Sales Rank: |
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118,512 |
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| AVAILABILITY: |
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| Usually ships in 24 hours |
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Focusing on price-forecasting in the commodity futures market, this is the most comprehensive examination of fundamental and technical analysis available. Treats both approaches in depth, with forecasting examined in conjunction with practical trading considerations. |
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Product Reviews |
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| Review this item. Coming soon! |
| Average rating: 4.0 |
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| pure analysis |
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Rating |
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| April 6, 2001 |
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An old Chinese Proverb states that a mind all logic is like a knife all blade- in otherwords, tough to grasp. Schwager, an extremely intelligent and successful analyst, is a quant- the type of individual who enjoys crunching long series of numbers, sifting through data with a fine toothed comb, and finding hidden statistical correlations for their own sake. His writing style reflects this mindset. While an excellent reference overall, Schwager at times tackles subjects of mind numbing complexity and strays into the realm of the pedantic. His example of how to fundamentally analyze the hog market is such a case. I was amazed at the level of esoterica delved into in certain places in this book. After reading this book early on (a trader interviewed in Market Wizards recommended it highly), I was worried that I might have to learn some high level calculus if I were going to be a successful trader. (Don't worry, that's not the case.) One of the things the successful trader has to do is learn to separate valuable information from noise, wheat from chaff. If you try to read every report and analyze every detail you come across, you will freeze like a deer in the headlights of indecision, buried under an avalanche of information overload. My overall impression is that Schwager approaches the markets the way a mathematics professor would approach a particularly thorny geometry problem: with logic, rigor and an utter lack of passion. His strengths are in crunching the numbers and laying out basic facts and theories with precision and clarity. Schwager's weakness, and the weakness of this book, is in poorly communicating the psychological and emotional elements of trading, which are critical. This is not to say Schwager's book isn't valuable! It is packed with information, and also points out a number of the fallacies committed by traders skilled and unskilled alike. It is a good reference book to have, something like an abridged encyclopedia of trading, one that can be referred to many times over to brush up on the finer points of a certain strategy or technical method. I recommend this book for those seeking quantitative knowledge of the futures markets and mathematical breakdowns of the strategies. But just know that if you read and buy this book, be aware that not all traders are so statistical and professor-like in their analysis. Schwager humbly admits that he is not a good trader himself. I think this is because he tries to hide behind rigorous analysis rather than dealing with his emotions and psychology directly, and this book reflects that attempt on his part. In conclusion I would say that this is an excellent reference guide, but I cannot agree that it is "complete" because it glosses over the critical psychological and emotional elements and does not deal with them as "completely" as it should. |
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